Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.317565 3.510202 3.715279 3.951111 4.216435 4.507668 4.854261
2025-08-10 2.975728 3.229898 3.514199 3.859881 4.274751 4.764829 5.400820
2025-08-17 2.686274 2.966841 3.291645 3.702878 4.221323 4.871124 5.780024
2025-08-24 2.493130 2.792737 3.149577 3.617251 4.233202 5.049045 6.278442
2025-08-31 2.359023 2.675082 3.061019 3.582861 4.298863 5.299946 6.930541
2025-09-07 2.235010 2.558657 2.961672 3.520450 4.313600 5.475668 7.509014
2025-09-14 2.124796 2.451089 2.863884 3.448193 4.301764 5.604792 8.041722
2025-09-21 2.024399 2.349449 2.765912 3.365419 4.262349 5.680618 8.497362
2025-09-28 1.963228 2.294600 2.725530 3.358448 4.333346 5.944808 9.412456
2025-10-05 1.959674 2.314263 2.785652 3.499335 4.649655 6.693906 11.771228
2025-10-12 1.923836 2.288153 2.779933 3.540699 4.808343 7.190541 13.884135
2025-10-19 1.897969 2.273742 2.788984 3.604151 5.011706 7.828353 17.073531
2025-10-26 1.863200 2.249457 2.788126 3.661764 5.232773 8.623597 22.464956
2025-11-02 1.801231 2.184662 2.724831 3.614209 5.254535 8.975148 26.938753
2025-11-09 1.723934 2.095249 2.620752 3.491959 5.117750 8.893841 28.827589
2025-11-16 1.666260 2.031546 2.552143 3.424397 5.082138 9.080695 33.795041
2025-11-23 1.623296 1.987072 2.510145 3.398531 5.127663 9.517148 44.475242
2025-11-30 1.576583 1.935344 2.454473 3.344791 5.108076 9.760636 56.679624
2025-12-07 1.530452 1.882815 2.395185 3.280618 5.058483 9.899196 71.630912
2025-12-14 1.484646 1.829289 2.332177 3.205959 4.977909 9.915586 87.577193
2025-12-21 1.457439 1.802003 2.308724 3.200072 5.049256 10.492878 189.507923
2025-12-28 1.461516 1.820642 2.357848 3.328928 5.450831 12.600668 NaN
2026-01-04 1.445678 1.808937 2.357882 3.366773 5.644497 14.069873 NaN